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Speculation is a Game You Cannot Win financial insights financial planning investment outlook investment strategies market trends portfolio protection risk management tariffs u.s. economy Apr 21, 2025

Why is speculation a game you cannot win? 

Near my house there’s a mountain called Lone Peak with a trail called Jacobs ladder that goes nearly straight up. The cool thing about it is the end is always in sight. Just 6 miles ahead and about 4,000 feet up. 

Upon nearing the top, you can see the exc...

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Client Memo: There Are No Experts financial insights investment outlook investment strategies portfolio protection recession s&p 500 tariffs trade trump u.s. economy Apr 14, 2025

At the start of 2020, markets were at all-time highs and, to borrow a phrase from the LEGO Movie’s annoying song, “everything was awesome.” At the time, there were only faint news reports of an outbreak in China causing a stir. And then, as these things tend to go, it was everywhere -all at once.

B...

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Client Memo: Tariffs - Analysis and Investment Implications financial insights investing investment outlook investment strategies market analysis market trends risk management s&p 500 stock market stocks tariffs trump u.s. economy Apr 07, 2025

President Trump recently unveiled a sweeping set of tariffs on exports from dozens of countries into the United States. Tariffs are duties imposed on imported goods by a government. They are intended to protect domestic industries, encourage local production, and generate tax revenue. In fact, tarif...

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Client Memo: If Your Investments Earned 14% Would You Be Happy? Mar 28, 2025

For one, our moods are often driven by relative, not absolute results.  What I mean by that is, most people compare themselves to others or some benchmark to assess how they’ve done. 

If I said to you that your portfolio made 14% last year, would you be happy?  The answer is, “it depends.”  What do...

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Near-Term Tariff Uncertainty Driving Volatility and Fear investment outlook investment strategies market analysis portfolio protection risk management stock market tariffs trump u.s. economy Mar 03, 2025

Tariffs are taxes levied by governments on imported goods. They aim to raise revenue, protect domestic industries, correct a trade deficit, impose political pressure on other states or deliver a combination of these goals.   - Investopedia

With the new administration, there will always be uncertain...

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Client Memo: What Is Tax-Loss Harvesting and How Does It Help? direct indexing tax planning tax reduction tax savings tax-efficient investing tax-loss harvesting Feb 14, 2025

 

 “It’s Not How Much You Make, It’s How Much You Keep.”
— Robert Kiyosaki (Rich Dad, Poor Dad author)

 

One issue we’ve encountered over the past few years of strong market returns is the accumulation of embedded unrealized gains in taxable accounts. Remember, each year, a taxable account incurs...

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Client Memo: Another Good Year In The Stock Market bonds buffer etfs financial insights investing market trends portfolio protection risk management stock market structured notes Feb 10, 2025

The market boomed again in 2024 for the second year in a row. 2022 seems like ages ago, the last bad year for the markets. I wrote then about how bad it was in aggregate because 2022 was the first year that both stocks and bonds were down double-digits (typically bonds rise when stocks fall).

In 20...

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How Your Wealth Consultants Can Transform Your Future Jan 13, 2025

Wealth consultants play a vital role in helping people achieve their financial dreams. They guide you through the complex world of finance, ensuring that your money works for you. With their expertise, you can create a solid plan that aligns with your goals, making your journey to financial success ...

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Making a Difference: How Noble Wealth Management Gives Back Dec 19, 2024

At Noble Wealth Management, our mission goes beyond enriching lives through financial planning. We believe in creating meaningful impact in our community, through hands-on volunteer efforts and financial support. As we reflect on 2024, we are grateful for our clients whose trust and partnership make...

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Client Memo: Additional Ways to Reduce Risk and Protect Your Recent Gains buffer etfs capital preservation investment outlook investment strategies portfolio diversification risk management Dec 13, 2024

This is part II of “What We Are Doing in A Likely Low Future Returns.” You can read that here.

In part I of this memo, I detailed how current valuations suggest that future returns will be downright terrible. Goldman Sachs recently updated their projections, which suggest only 3% nominal returns pe...

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Client Memo: Future Returns Look Downright Abysmal. What Do We Do About It? financial insights interest rates market analysis s&p 500 stocks tech stocks u.s. economy Nov 04, 2024

I’ve been on this bandwagon for some time now but as the market zooms, we have to wonder what future returns will look like. The S&P 500 is on pace for its second straight 20%+ annual return. This has only occurred five times over the last 75 years, per Bloomberg.

 

20%+ returns in the market in a...

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Client Memo: What To Do with Portfolios Ahead of the Election financial insights financial planning interest rates investing u.s. economy Oct 21, 2024

As we approach the upcoming presidential election, I want to address any concerns you may have about its potential impact on your investments. 

I’ve received several emails asking what we are doing ahead of the November 5th election.  The answer is simple:  NOTHING!

There is a general rule of thum...

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