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Client Memo: There Are No Experts financial insights investment outlook investment strategies portfolio protection recession s&p 500 tariffs trade trump u.s. economy Apr 14, 2025

At the start of 2020, markets were at all-time highs and, to borrow a phrase from the LEGO Movie’s annoying song, “everything was awesome.” At the time, there were only faint news reports of an outbreak in China causing a stir. And then, as these things tend to go, it was everywhere -all at once.

B...

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Client Memo: Tariffs - Analysis and Investment Implications financial insights investing investment outlook investment strategies market analysis market trends risk management s&p 500 stock market stocks tariffs trump u.s. economy Apr 07, 2025

President Trump recently unveiled a sweeping set of tariffs on exports from dozens of countries into the United States. Tariffs are duties imposed on imported goods by a government. They are intended to protect domestic industries, encourage local production, and generate tax revenue. In fact, tarif...

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Client Memo: Future Returns Look Downright Abysmal. What Do We Do About It? financial insights interest rates market analysis s&p 500 stocks tech stocks u.s. economy Nov 04, 2024

I’ve been on this bandwagon for some time now but as the market zooms, we have to wonder what future returns will look like. The S&P 500 is on pace for its second straight 20%+ annual return. This has only occurred five times over the last 75 years, per Bloomberg.

 

20%+ returns in the market in a...

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The Long Unwinding Road currency trade effects financial insights market analysis market trends s&p 500 tech stocks u.s. economy yen carry trade Aug 05, 2024

The S&P 500 Index hit its last all-time high on July 16th at 5,669. Since then, the market (as of this writing) is down about 8%. However, some stocks, namely Mega cap tech stocks, are down far more. The SPDR Technology Index ETF (XLK) is down 16% since its July 10th high.  

What is driving this mo...

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Should You Buy Stocks When They are at All-Time Highs? financial insights market analysis s&p 500 stocks May 03, 2024

The short answer is: that’s not what you should be focusing on. Instead, investors should be asking, “at today’s valuation, is it a good time to invest?” 

Investing at all-time highs may seem scary for investors. We are told to buy low and sell high and buying at all time highs feels like the oppos...

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Always Expect the Unexpected financial planning investing market analysis s&p 500 tech stocks Jan 25, 2024

Looking back at 2023, one thing we can reflect on is the winding road we navigated along the way. The last several years we’ve had alternating results and abnormal returns. In 2020, the S&P fell more than 33% before recovering before year’s end to finish up 18%. In 2021, the market was up 29%. In 20...

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Is Rental Income Really Passive and that Good a Deal today? investing real estate s&p 500 stocks u.s. economy Jan 24, 2024

One of the largest competitors to the stock and bond markets is real estate. In the United States alone, real estate is worth $47 trillion in June 2023, according to Benoit Properties.1 Owning real estate has been the cornerstone of the American Dream since the Pilgrims landed four hundred years ago...

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