Advisors
Client Memo: Future Returns Look Downright Abysmal. What Do We Do About It? financial insights interest rates market analysis s&p 500 stocks tech stocks u.s. economy Nov 04, 2024

I’ve been on this bandwagon for some time now but as the market zooms, we have to wonder what future returns will look like. The S&P 500 is on pace for its second straight 20%+ annual return. This has only occurred five times over the last 75 years, per Bloomberg.

 

20%+ returns in...

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Client Memo: What To Do with Portfolios Ahead of the Election financial insights financial planning interest rates investing u.s. economy Oct 21, 2024

As we approach the upcoming presidential election, I want to address any concerns you may have about its potential impact on your investments. 

I’ve received several emails asking what we are doing ahead of the November 5th election.  The answer is simple:  NOTHING!

There is...

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How Does The Fed Rate Cut Affect Me? financial insights interest rates investing market analysis u.s. economy Oct 03, 2024

A common question I receive is ‘what interest rate does the Federal Reserve Bank (“Fed”) control’ and ‘how does it affect me?’ Since I’ve received the question a few times, here’s a memo!

The Fed controls the very shortest maturity rate called the ...

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Whatā€™s Next Now That the Cutting Cycle Has Begun? financial insights interest rates investing market analysis u.s. economy Sep 24, 2024
The First Rate Cut Since 2020

The Fed cut the interest rate they control (called Federal Funds) for the first time since March 2020 – during the panic of Covid. They started with a larger half a point cut. That was the right call in my opinion as inflation is down to 2.6% year-over-year and...

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Getting the Fiscal House in Order interest rates market analysis u.s. economy Mar 04, 2024

One of the largest issues this election cycle will be the deficit. In my opinion, it hasn’t received nearly enough attention even though it has received a good amount. The fiscal situation in this country trumps (pun intended) anything to do with the border or democracy.

The problem comes...

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Past the Peak but Not All Downhill From Here financial insights financial planning interest rates investing stocks u.s. economy Dec 28, 2023

 “We’re aware of the risk that we would hang on too long. We’re very focused on not making that mistake.”

- Jerome Powell, Fed Chairman

 

Less than two months ago, I wrote to clients that the pivot was coming over the next year. Little did I know it was coming in...

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Fitch States the Obvious: Implications for the US Debt Being Downgraded financial insights interest rates market analysis u.s. economy Aug 04, 2023

Time to worry. Just kidding. 

On August 2nd, Fitch Ratings, one of the nationally recognized statistical ratings organizations, or NRSRO, downgraded the U.S. credit rating one notch to the second highest rating. Fitch is one of the ten approved by the SEC to provide an assessment of the...

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Why Bond Mutual Funds Are Not A Replacement For Individual Bonds financial insights financial planning interest rates investing stocks u.s. economy Jun 21, 2023

During the time I was writing this, I was interviewed for a podcast in which I discussed this very topic. To listen, click here.

For most of the last two decades, bond mutual funds were an easy and convenient way to purchase bonds. However, as rates fall, you are getting diluted by new...

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Whatever It Takes financial insights interest rates investing market analysis u.s. economy Sep 22, 2022

‘‘Within our mandate, the ECB is ready to do whatever it takes to preserve the EUR. And believe me,it will be enough.” 

Mario Draghi, July 2012 

''We will keep at it until inflation is down to 2%. And our monetary policy tightening will be enough.It will be enoughto...

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